Beskydy 2017, 10, 123-134

https://doi.org/10.11118/beskyd201710010123

Projected changes in winter climate in Beskids Mountains during 21st century

Aleš Farda, Petr Štěpánek, Pavel Zahradníček, Petr Skalák, Jan Meitner

Global Change Research Institute, Czech Academy of Sciences, Bělidla 986/4a, CZ-60300, Brno, Czech Republic

We have investigated the future changes of climate conditions during the winter season in the Beskids Mountains. During the 21st century mean winter temperature will increase by 2.0–6.3 °C and winter precipitation will increase by 12.5 – to 17.5 % - depending on the scenario. Higher winter temperatures will be reflected in the reduced number of frost days, the number of which may drop by 40 % according to the RCP8.5 scenario. Whilst our study expects general increase in precipitation, higher temperatures will lead to an increased evapotranspiration and also change in the form of precipitation from solid (snow, rime) to liquid (rain, drizzling). Such trends could further propel the unfavorable changes in the water balance budget.

Funding

This work was supported by the Ministry of Education, Youth and Sports of CR within the National Sustainability Program I (NPU I), grant number LO1415

References

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